Gabriel P. Mathy
Department of Economics
Office: Kreeger 124
Primary Fields: Macroeconomics, Economic History
Other Research Interests: Great Depression, Secular Stagnation, Uncertainty in Macroeconomics, Unemployment, Monetary and Financial Economics. International Economics
Expectations and Forecasting during the Great Depression: Real-Time Evidence from the Business Press (with Herman Stekler, Forthcoming, Journal of Macroeconomics)
Hysteresis and Persistent Long-Term Unemployment: The American Beveridge Curve of the Great Depression and World War II (Cliometrica, January 2017, 1-26)
How Much Does Political Uncertainty Matter? The Case of Louisiana under Huey Long (with Nicholas L. Ziebarth), Journal of Economic History, (February 2017)
Stock volatility, return jumps and uncertainty shocks during the Great Depression Financial History Review, (July 2016)
Looking Back On the Age of Checking in America, 1800-1960 (with Matthew Jaremski), Forthcoming, Revista de la Historia de la Economía y de la Empresa.)
Business cycle co-movement: Evidence from the Great Depression Journal of Monetary Economics, May 2011, 58(4), 362-372 (with Christopher M. Meissner).
Bad Luck or Bad Workers? A View of the Long-term Unemployed in the Great Depression through Matched Census Records (with Paul Gaggl)
How did forecasters respond to the American growth slowdown of the mid-2000s to the present? (with Daniel Kirwin)
How was the Quantitative Easing Program of the 1930s Unwound? (with Matthew Jaremski) (under review)
How Much Did Uncertainty Shocks Matter in the Great Depression?
Was the Deflation of the Depression Anticipated? An Inference Using Real-time Data (with Herman Stekler)